Premier League predictions, odds and greatest bets: Aston Villa to thump Nottingham Forest | Soccer Information

Recent from tipping Ipswich to beat Bournemouth, our betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of supplies his perception throughout the Premier League weekend.

Everton vs Arsenal, Saturday 12.30pm

Gabriel Martinelli. Keep in mind him? The rampaging, all-action winger that persistently tore aside Premier League full-backs? Properly, he is again from his season of struggles based mostly on his efficiency within the 2-1 win over Fulham. He was direct, he was harmful and his numbers have been spectacular.

The help he grabbed was considered one of 5 possibilities he created for his teammates and as my colleague Nick Wright outlined in his wonderful “Radar” column, Martinelli’s whole of 19 one-on-ones over the course of the sport was his joint-highest all season. The Brazilian has now scored or assisted in 4 of his final six video games and it is a pattern value leaping on on the costs. He is 5/4 with Sky Guess to attain or help right here.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Crystal Palace vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

It will be a mistake to learn an excessive amount of into Crystal Palace’s lacklustre displaying at Southampton.

I would fairly assess them over a much bigger pattern dimension and put that outlier efficiency right down to a little bit of fatigue following their FA Cup win at Fulham. For the reason that center of November, Palace’s defensive course of based mostly on anticipated objectives in opposition to is the fourth greatest within the Premier League at 1.15 per 90. Oliver Glasner’s aspect received the reverse fixture comfortably 3-1 on the Amex and so they can repeat the feat with 11/8 on supply for the house win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

After doing the enterprise for me in midweek at 7/1 in opposition to Bournemouth, I’ll keep on the Tractor prepare.

Wolves are favourites for this one which simply would not really feel proper to me in a sport they need not win. A draw could be simply advantageous for them to maintain the hole at 9 factors. That sort of mentality realizing a draw is an efficient result’s a harmful one in opposition to a crew that must win.

Additionally, Wolves are nonetheless with out Matheus Cunha who continues to be suspended.

On paper it seems like they have not missed him, taking seven factors from 9 however their underlying attacking course of in these sport reveals they’ve struggled to create with out him. In these three video games in opposition to Everton, Southampton and West Ham they misplaced the mixture anticipated objectives battle 1.9 vs 4.1. That is fairly alarming to me based mostly on the extent of opposition they have been going through.

Ipswich to win at 17/10 with Sky Guess seems a terrific wager.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Ipswich to win (17/10 with Sky Guess)

West Ham vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Jarrod Bowen’s tweak in place below Graham Potter has seen a major spike in his fouls drawn information.

This positional change to play extra centrally has seen his fouls received information undergo the roof as he is concerned in additional of the hustle and bustle within the midfield space. He is been fouled no less than twice in all seven of his begins below Potter and in whole he is drawn 16 fouls in these seven video games.

In the meantime, Bournemouth have made essentially the most fouls of any crew within the Premier League as they’re very aggressive in midfield the place they are often left uncovered as soon as a crew beats the press.

It is simply 4/7 with Sky Guess although for Bowen to be fouled no less than twice because the markets have observed this pattern so including below 3.5 objectives into the wager by means of the BuildABet operate will get the value to five/4. The final 9 video games below Potter have gone below 3.5 and Bournemouth arrive low on confidence, so objectives ought to be briefly provide.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

There’s such a contemporary, revitalised really feel about Aston Villa.

Normally when assessing groups I like to attract the information for your entire season to charge a crew and search for angles however I believe quite a lot of Villa’s video games from earlier within the season, the place they have been managing Champions League and nursing a hefty damage record, are fairly irrelevant now.

It is all concerning the right here and now when analysing Villa and I assumed they have been very spectacular at Brighton.

Over the season, Villa’s defensive course of on the street is definitely the fifth worst of any crew, conceding 1.75 anticipated objectives in opposition to per sport. However at Brighton, they restricted a crew who’ve been scoring for enjoyable to simply 0.9 anticipated objectives and grabbed a clear sheet.

Villa have not misplaced at Villa Park within the Premier League or Champions League for 19 video games now, since dropping to Arsenal on August 24.

For those who take Forest’s 1-0 win at Liverpool out of the equation and focus on their different seven video games in opposition to high 10 groups away from dwelling this season, they’re conceding 2.7 objectives per sport in these matches.

I believe Villa win this one fairly comfortably.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0

Saturday fifth April 5:00pm


Kick off 5:30pm

Brentford vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm

Nicolas Jackson has been missed by Chelsea.

Jackson confirmed in opposition to Tottenham he provides Chelsea such a terrific base to play off, from his highly effective working in behind to holding up the ball to deliver the likes of Cole Palmer into the sport.

His affect stacks up each on the attention take a look at and the what the information is telling us. With out him for 9 video games, Chelsea created simply an anticipated objectives per 90 determine of 1.10 and scored simply 1.25 objectives per 90. It was a delicate run of fixtures too having performed Leicester, Southampton and FC Copenhagen twice.

And, when Jackson performs, Chelsea common 1.9 objectives per sport and take 1.9 factors per sport. An enormous spike.

Jackson has scored within the final two conferences with the Bees and he can lead the cost by netting one other in an away win at 100/30 with Sky Guess.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Fulham vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Liverpool want a most of 13 factors from their remaining eight video games to bag the Premier League title.

Arne Slot is enjoying the sport very properly – he has Liverpool very onerous to beat. Nothing flashy. Simply very skilled.

That’s sufficient at this stage of the season such is the place they discover themselves in.

Slot’s crew stay on a really spectacular unbeaten run within the league. It is now 26 video games since they final tasted defeat – it is the membership’s second-longest unbeaten Premier League run and their fourth-longest unbeaten league run within the membership’s complete historical past. Liverpool are additionally the one crew in English soccer unbeaten away from dwelling this season. An away win seems good at 4/5 with Sky Guess.

Jamie Carragher as soon as remarked that Diogo Jota is Liverpool’s greatest Premier League finisher – and I completely agree with him. Sure, even higher than Mohamed Salah.

Jota’s numbers again that concept up. The Portugal ahead averages a objective each 142 minutes within the Premier League for Liverpool – that is a greater file than Michael Owen (143) and Robbie Fowler (159).

Jota scored the winner in midweek in opposition to and I am all the time desirous about backing Jota to attain when he is trying this sharp and busy in entrance of objective. Him to attain in a Liverpool win is available in at 100/30.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Sunday sixth April 1:00pm


Kick off 2:00pm

Tottenham vs Southampton, Sunday 2pm

With Ange-ball now a factor of the previous at Tottenham regardless of him nonetheless being in a job, the costs surrounding objectives in Spurs matches are too skewed in the direction of previous information.

Sure, this Tottenham crew have been stuffed with objectives within the Ange Postecoglou period – for instance, between his first sport in cost and January 31 this 12 months, the whole match common for objectives was coming in at 3.6.

Nonetheless, within the final eight video games, their matches have solely averaged 2.38 objectives per 90 and their attacking play has turn into very stale.

With Tottenham’s season on the road of their subsequent fixture in opposition to Frankfurt within the Europa League, it is easy to foresee them simply being in job-done mode for this one. All this makes the below 3.5 objectives play at 8/11 with Sky Guess very engaging.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Below 3.5 objectives (8/11 with Sky Guess)

Manchester United vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Based mostly on Manchester United’s clear points in assault, they’re unattainable to again right here at a worth like 9/4 with Sky Guess, particularly from what we have seen from Manchester Metropolis within the final three halves of soccer.

In 135 minutes in opposition to Bournemouth and Leicester they’ve confronted only one shot and whole anticipated objectives of 0.02. There was a transparent signal of stability within the Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol partnership with Nico O’Reilly trying composed on the left.

It would not shock me if Metropolis win this derby with out conceding.

Nonetheless, Omar Marmoush to attain anytime at 6/5 with Sky Guess is the higher punting choice.

He is on a run of scoring in his final three video games now and has already received six objectives in whole in his final six begins. And I simply love how optimistic he’s with the ball, all the time trying ahead and likes to get pictures away – he fired a whopping 9 in opposition to Leicester.

I am assuming he’ll be on penalties too with Erling Haaland out which I believe provides just a little further edge to that anytime worth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Leicester vs Newcastle, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities

Leicester posted an anticipated objectives tally of 0.02 within the defeat at Manchester Metropolis. A unprecedented achievement.

It is the lowest by any top-flight crew all season – beating Newcastle’s 0.04 in opposition to Crystal Palace.

Leicester have now misplaced 15 of their final 17 video games in all competitions and are on a run of seven successive Premier League defeats with out scoring. That is the primary time that is occurred within the historical past of the soccer membership.

I am undecided enjoying at dwelling goes to assist them right here – issues may get ugly.

Newcastle ought to be able to scoring a number of objectives and the best way to again some worth in that end result is to place your religion in Jacob Murphy to help at 9/4 with Sky Guess. He has eight assists in his final 20 begins for the Toon and has developed wonderful chemistry with Alexander Isak.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-4

Monday seventh April 6:30pm


Kick off 8:00pm

Jones Is aware of’ greatest wager…

• 1pt treble on: Ipswich to win, Aston Villa to win & below 3.5 objectives in Tottenham vs Southampton (8/1 with Sky Guess)