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Regardless of ongoing claims of voter fraud and poll mismanagement from former President Donald Trump and his allies, 86% of registered voters in a brand new ABC Information/Ipsos ballot say they personally are ready to just accept the end result of the 2024 presidential election as respectable, no matter which candidate wins.
Two-thirds, nonetheless, consider Trump is just not ready to just accept the end result as respectable. Fewer than half as many, 30%, say the identical of Vice President Kamala Harris.
The general public’s willingness to just accept the end result is basically unchanged since August and up from 79% in October 2020. Seven in 10 registered voters additionally categorical confidence that votes will likely be counted precisely, little modified for the reason that 2022 midterms.
On the similar time, issues in regards to the electoral course of resonate with a minority of voters — notably Trump’s personal supporters. Thirty-one p.c total say they aren’t so or in no way assured that votes will likely be counted precisely, rising to 54% of those that assist Trump within the election. Simply 6% of Harris supporters lack confidence within the rely.
Nonetheless, even amongst Trump’s supporters, 81% say they’re ready to just accept the election final result as respectable. That rises to 92% of Harris supporters on this ballot, produced for ABC by Langer Analysis Associates with fieldwork by Ipsos.
Notably, 69% of those that lack confidence within the vote rely say they’re ready to just accept the end result anyway. It is related, 70%, simply amongst Trump supporters who lack confidence within the rely.
As reported Friday, 33% of registered voters — together with 66% of Trump’s supporters — endorse Trump’s false claims that President Joe Biden didn’t legitimately win in 2020. These views are extremely associated to confidence within the electoral rely: 90% of voters who say Biden legitimately received the election categorical confidence that votes will likely be counted precisely this election cycle, in contrast with 30% of voters who say Biden didn’t legitimately win.
Nonetheless, majorities say they will settle for this 12 months’s final result no matter their view on the 2020 race. Amongst those that don’t suppose Biden legitimately received, 72% say they’re ready to just accept this 12 months’s final result. It is 93% amongst those that say Biden did legitimately win.
Trump has stated he’s prepared to just accept the end result “if all the pieces’s sincere,” whereas concurrently elevating issues in regards to the electoral course of. Harris’ marketing campaign, for her half, has stated she’ll preside over the election certification as vp no matter who wins.
Harris supporters are particularly skeptical that Trump will settle for the end result of the election as respectable; 94% consider he isn’t ready to take action. Against this, about six in 10 Trump supporters (59%) suppose he’ll settle for the end result; 36% suppose not.
Conversely, practically all of Harris’ supporters, 97%, suppose she is ready to just accept the end result of the election. Many fewer Trump supporters, 40%, say the identical for her.
Partisanship
Willingness to just accept the end result of the election crosses political celebration affiliations, starting from 91% of Democrats and 88% of independents to 81% of Republicans.
Whereas willingness to just accept election outcomes is bipartisan, issues in regards to the electoral course of are extra divided. Ninety-three p.c of Democrats are assured that the votes within the presidential election will likely be counted precisely, falling to 68% of independents and simply 51% of Republicans.
Acceptance of 2020 election outcomes additionally range broadly by partisanship. Sixty-five p.c of Republicans say Biden didn’t legitimately win the election, in contrast with 29% of independents and simply 3% of Democrats.
Methodology
This ABC Information/Ipsos ballot was performed on-line by way of the probability-based Ipsos KnowledgePanel® Oct. 18-22, 2024, in English and Spanish, amongst a random nationwide pattern of two,808 adults, together with 2,392 registered voters. Partisan divisions are 29%-29%-30%, Democrats-Republicans-independents, amongst all respondents, and 32%-32%-29% amongst registered voters. Outcomes have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 share factors, together with the design impact, for the total pattern and registered voters alike. Sampling error is just not the one supply of variations in polls.
The survey was produced for ABC Information by Langer Analysis Associates, with sampling and information assortment by Ipsos. See particulars on ABC Information’ survey methodology right here.
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