Kellyanne Conway: Donald Trump is rising from the ashes

Here is the deal for this week, the final and last push to Election Day. Women and gents, it does really feel like 2016 once more, and for a lot of totally different causes. We’re speaking about Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the three states that Donald Trump gained by a complete of 77,000 votes to grow to be the forty fifth President of the US. 

Former President Trump’s path to victory within the 2016 presidential election. ((Screenshot/Fox Nation/Here is the Deal))

He is up in opposition to a feminine opponent who excited and enthused so many ladies throughout the nation, and other people. A lady, once more, who was purported to carry alongside brand-new constituencies into the Democratic Occasion and increase the electoral map, flip purple states blue, improve their take amongst core constituencies that had been Republican for a really very long time. And Donald Trump once more, is being outspent. He is dealing with a hostile, downright harmful mainstream media in the kind of language they use to explain him and his supporters. 

All of it sounds acquainted, however what else sounds acquainted is the scent of victory for Donald J. Trump. I believe Trump 2016 is Trump 2024. The starvation, the swagger, the underdog, underestimated Donald Trump, who nobody thinks may make it once more. And there he’s, rising from the ashes. This time, actually. He was advised in 2015 and 2016, you are not electable, you may’t win. He was advised that dealing with 17 certified women and men for the Republican major nomination. And he is been advised it each single day, each single second since he left workplace in January of 2021. 

Outgoing US President Donald Trump waves as he boards Marine One on the White Home in Washington, DC, on January 20, 2021. ( MANDEL NGAN/AFP by way of Getty Photographs)

He confronted major opponents in 2023 and 2024. That they had debates, two, hosted by FOX Enterprise and Fox Information Channel. That they had a possibility to attach with the voters in Iowa, in New Hampshire and South Carolina in these early and swing states. A lot of them had outsized cash, outsized consideration, outsized probabilities given to them simply to cease Donald Trump from ever seeing 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue once more. 

And but, right here he’s because the nominee, surging within the polls with, sure, extra money than he had the primary few occasions, however a lot extra momentum and a real alternative to proceed and full the political realignment of core constituencies which have historically and sometimes voted Democratic. What a flip of occasions. 

HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN: MARGIN-OF-ERROR PRESIDENTIAL RACE WITH ONE WEEK UNTIL ELECTION DAY

Donald Trump is poised to realize help amongst African People, Hispanic People, younger People, Jewish People and union households. He does not have to win anyplace close to 50%, not even 40%, nowhere close to that in any of these teams to be the following President of the US. Women and gents, politics shouldn’t be about biology. It is not even about chemistry. It is about math and science. You want extra electoral votes than the opposite individual. And within the down-ballot races for Home and Senate, you want yet another vote than the opposite individual. 

Former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris’ help amongst demographics. ((Screenshot/Fox Nation/Here is the Deal))

After all, Kamala Harris can nonetheless win, however the race has been slipping away from her for all of October, I can argue from her one debate on September tenth. It was a fairly good 90 minutes for her, nevertheless it truly has been a long-term danger and possibly a legal responsibility for her. Why? As a result of what we noticed on the stage that evening in that debate we have by no means seen since. 

There has by no means been one other 90 minutes of Kamala Harris holding forth on coverage, trying considerably optimistic, prevaricating, after all, and equivocating, however on the similar time performing in a method that made individuals within the Democratic Occasion say, see, for this reason we removed Joe Biden and changed him with Kamala Harris. Which will have been a mistake.

FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP STILL NARROWLY AHEAD OF HARRIS IN NORTH CAROLINA

Kamala Harris is underperforming Joe Biden’s vote totals in many alternative classes and in quite a few these swing states. 

Goodness. Keep in mind? What did they are saying on the time? “Joe Biden should go” after that disastrous debate in opposition to Donald Trump. Biden misplaced that debate, however Trump gained that debate, do not forget. And after the June 27 debate, what did the Democratic donors and candidates and officeholders and pundits and the mainstream media, different Democrats, what did all of them say? We should do away with Joe Biden as a result of he will flip over the White Home to Donald Trump, and he will take the Home and the Senate with him. Fascinating, wasn’t it? 

President Biden was broadly criticized for his “rubbish” comment about former President Trump’s supporters. (Getty Photographs)

Sounded cheap on the time to unreasonable individuals. However the reverse may occur. There could possibly be a purple sweep. As I advised you final week, Donald Trump is on observe for a slender landslide. Eight thousand right here, 12,000 further there, 22,000 over there. And he can run the tables on Election Day. He can simply win 5 of these swing states, as much as 6 or 7. And there are causes for that which we’ll dig into on this great episode with Martha MacCallum. However additionally I will proceed to inform you over the following couple of minutes it appears like 2016 once more for one more cause. You. The forgotten man. The forgotten lady. The forgotten youngster. 

REPORTER’S NOTEBOOK: THE HARD STUFF IS YET TO COME

Folks now really feel invisible to a system that’s making them pay an excessive amount of cash for too little in return, that makes a white-knuckle to pay the month-to-month payments each week. We’re not attempting to afford luxuries. We’re attempting to afford on a regular basis consumables. We would like a safe border the place individuals aren’t coming right here illegally. Tens, tens of millions and tens of millions, as much as 10 million of them. We do not need new wars overseas. All of the predictions about Donald Trump changing into the forty fifth president. They’re attempting once more. He is a fascist. He is a Nazi. He loves Hitler. He’s Hitler. They’re insulting him as a result of they’re insulting you who help him. Do not let that occur. 

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump waves goodbye after a marketing campaign rally at Madison Sq. Backyard on October 27, 2024 in New York Metropolis.  (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Photographs)

You recognize who you’re. No political individual, no candidate, no celebration ever made a plan for you. God did think about that plan. Get to the polls if you have not already. Possibly you are one of many tens of tens of millions of People who’ve already voted. Possibly you are somebody who’s nonetheless going to vote, however I am encouraging you to vote as a result of essentially the most equalizing think about our democracy. One individual, one vote. Your vote is your voice. Your vote is your selection. We’ll have World Conflict III. The inventory market’s going to crash. All these predictions about Trump, inflation, new wars in all places. None of it was true. 

‘TREATED YOU LIKE GARBAGE’: TRUMP USES BIDEN CRITICISM AS RALLYING CRY IN BATTLEGROUND NORTH CAROLINA

They’re making these predictions once more. And as soon as once more, they’re attempting to denigrate and castigate you, his voters. He is proper. He is simply in the best way. They are not simply going after him. They are going after you. Kamala Harris is an indication of the occasions. Donald Trump is a metaphor for America. If you’re knocked down, when somebody needs to do you hurt and pulls the set off actually or figuratively, do you fall down and keep there or do you get again up? America, do you pump your fists within the air and say, “Battle, combat, combat”? That is the query all of us have in our thoughts. 

Let’s discuss concerning the polls and the RealClearPolitics common. 

Trump has a 0.1% lead within the in style vote. However at this level, that small, small, minuscule lead is a big one. Why? Biden was at 7.4% and Hillary Clinton was at 4.6%. It’s astonishing that the favored vote is even in play. It has been constantly out of attain of Republicans since 2004. It’s largely in play due to Trump. He is bettering his margins in Republican-leaning states like Texas and Florida. In comparison with the earlier two elections when he was the nominee, and he additionally seems to be reducing his deficits in blue states like California, New York and even locations like New Hampshire, Minnesota, New Mexico and Virginia. The Electoral Faculty, we all know that it isn’t the favored vote. It is the Electoral Faculty – the way you do or do not grow to be the president.

TRUMP CAMP TAKES VICTORY LAP FOLLOWING ELECTION CASE LEGAL WIN IN BATTLEGROUND STATE

Proper now, the RealClearPolitics common exhibits all the pieces turning up Trump actually, albeit marginally. The 2 greatest states for Trump proper now within the RCP common is Arizona, which Fox Information Energy Rankings simply moved to lean Republican, and Georgia, the place Trump leads Harris by 2% on common. Within the early vote in Arizona, Republicans have a 100,000 vote benefit over the Democrats. That eliminates the Democrats early vote benefit that they have been capable of declare prior to now two election cycles. 

In Nevada, the same pattern is unfolding. Forty thousand extra Republicans have voted sooner than Democrats. That’s one thing that Nevada has by no means seen within the trendy period. And in North Carolina, the place Republicans have diminished the Democratic benefit in new registrations, Republicans are additionally outvoting Democrats. In 2020, Democrats outvoted Republicans by 300,000 votes at this level within the race. And now Republicans are outvoting Democrats. Boy, Donald Trump telling individuals, make a plan to vote. Vote on Election Day, should you like, however vote early should you really feel snug. Vote early by means of the mail. Vote early by means of the drop field. Vote early on the polls. That is paying off. 

FOX NEWS POLL: MORE HARRIS THAN TRUMP SUPPORTERS THINK VOTES WILL BE COUNTED ACCURATELY & WILL ACCEPT OUTCOME

The Lion Board and the remainder of the dominion are following with the Trump group feeling assured in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina. They nonetheless would want to choose off a type of three states, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, to get it over to 70 Electoral Faculty. So proper now, that blue wall, there’s three states – Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – that Trump gained in 2016 and Biden reclaimed in 2020 which can be seeing the tightest polling within the cycle. They’re very white states. You’ll have thought Kamala Harris would make a play, do a lot better within the racially various states like Georgia, Arizona, Nevada. She shouldn’t be. She caught with out “Scranton Joe” going to Scranton. 

President Joe Biden delivers a speech at Dundalk Marine Terminal in Baltimore. (Amy Davis/Baltimore Solar/Tribune Information Service by way of Getty Photographs) (Anna Rose Layden/Getty Photographs)

She caught with out the Senate candidates in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan eager to marketing campaign a lot together with her there bear hugging Donald Trump, saying, I do not personal the electrical automobile. The million individuals to evaluate demand that you simply purchase. I have been voting with Trump on commerce. I am bipartisan. I actually am. So she’s there by herself in her billions to make the case. Trump leads every of these states, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, by half a share level. It is price noting that at this level in 2016, Hillary Clinton led all three states – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan – by greater than 5% and went on to lose all three. Now, as I stated, and we all know, Trump nonetheless wants to choose off at the least a type of so-called blue wall seats to win. 

FOX NEWS POLL: HARRIS ERASES TRUMP’S LEAD ON THE ECONOMY IN MICHIGAN

Proper now, he is attempting to squeeze Harris from the left and the best, and it is working. He is bettering and sustaining his margins within the rural counties, and he is making good points in city counties like Philadelphia, Detroit and Milwaukee, largely due to his good points amongst minority voters particularly, however not completely male voters. Donald Trump does not have to get anyplace close to 50, 40, 30% in these city areas to truly win the state.

In the meantime, Kamala Harris is bleeding help from conventional core Democratic constituencies like Blacks, Hispanics, union households, Jewish People and even Catholic voters. In Michigan, that features Arab American voters, 100,000 of whom refused to vote for her and Biden within the primaries. Subsequently, Harris is banking on one massive path to 270. She must overperform with White school graduates in suburban counties. There may be some proof that she is ready to try this and maintain on to those blue wall states. CNN, for instance, lately analyzed the polling averages and exhibits Harris doubling Joe Biden’s margin in 2020 amongst white school grads. That is a bit of scary. And that would be the telltale signal on election evening. 

MAJORITY OF VETERANS POLLED SUPPORT RE-ELECTION OF DONALD TRUMP: ‘WE WANT TRUMP BACK’

How is the race trying in suburban counties, massive counties surrounding massive city counties like Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee? Let’s have a look on the Home and Senate, as a result of, in spite of everything, President Trump will want a purple sweep. To have the ability to get issues performed and to keep away from impeachment within the first couple of days by 30 Democratic led Home and Senate, if each single lean, possible and protected seat went every celebration’s method, the Republicans would begin at 207 and the Democrats would begin at 203, in keeping with Prepare dinner Political Report.

That leaves management of the Home to be determined by 25 toss-up seats, 14 at present held by q Republican, 11 at present held by a Democrat. Of the 14 seats Republicans are defending, solely 4 districts had been gained by Trump in 2020. California 41. Iowa one. Iowa three. Pennsylvania 10. Biden gained ten of those seats, together with seven of the seats by over 5%. California 13. California 22. California 27. California 45. New Nebraska two. New York 4. Oregon 5. Why do I say this? Keep in mind the place Trump’s been lately? Coachella, California. Lengthy Island. New York. Madison Sq. Backyard. 

Why is he going to non-swing states, Kellyanne? As a result of he is sensible and he is aware of that the Home majority that the Republicans acquired in 2022 ran by means of California in New York, of the ten seats Democrats are defending within the Home, 4 had been gained by Trump.

TRUMP, HARRIS MAKE FINAL PITCHES TO VOTERS IN HIGH-STAKES BATTLEGROUND STATE IN FINAL DAYS OF CYCLE

Biden gained seven of them and solely three the place he had snug wins. As goes the race nationally for president might go the race for Republicans. Women and gents, we have had three consecutive election cycles, 2018, 2020 and 2022, the place we didn’t know who managed the Home of Representatives till December. That would occur once more. 

Or we are able to have an early evening. Rapidly take a look at the US Senate – greatest electoral map for the GOP in a decade and possibly for the following decade. Glorious candidates having been recruited in most, if not all, of those locations. 

CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOX NATION

West Virginia, open seat, the Manchin seat protected. Republican Jim Justice would be the subsequent United States senator from West Virginia. Montana, at present rated as possible Republican, the place former Navy SEAL and profitable monetary govt Tim Sheehy is taking the case to Jon Tester and beating him in all of the respectable polls. Ohio, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan are at present rated as toss-ups for United States Senate. 

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

So we’re feeling actually bullish concerning the Home and Senate as nicely. Once more, no purple wave, however a purple sweep helps President Trump legislatively accomplish extra of that agenda. 

This text is tailored from Kellyanne Conway’s opening commentary from the most recent version of “Here is the Take care of Kellyanne,” streaming on Fox Nation.

Fox Nation packages are viewable on-demand and out of your cell system app, however just for Fox Nation subscribers. Go to Fox Nation to start out a free trial and watch the in depth library out of your favourite Fox Nation personalities.