The current Haryana elections noticed the Congress and BJP pitching for 2 separate vote blocs – the primary hoping for Jat-Dalit votes, and the latter for non-Jat OBCs. Whereas the Congress received its calculations flawed, the harm didn’t come from not less than the 2 fronts social gathering supporters have been fearing – the Indian Nationwide Lok Dal (INLD)-Bahujan Samaj Social gathering alliance, and Jannayak Janata Social gathering (JJP)-Aazad Samaj Social gathering (Kanshi Ram) or ASPKR mix.
Whereas the 2 fronts additionally eyed the identical Jat-Dalit vote mixture, an evaluation of the outcomes exhibits that neither made a lot influence.
Of the 12 seats the place the INLD-BSP mix completed third, securing extra votes than the victory margin, solely 4 had the Congress dropping to the BJP. In eight, the Congress managed to attain a victory over the BJP.
The events individually too fared poorly. Whereas the JJP did not win a single seat and its chief Dushyant Chautala ended up within the fifth spot in his bastion of Uchana Kalan, its father or mother social gathering INLD gained solely two seats. Their Dalit-vote financial institution allies BSP and ASPKR, respectively, did not open their accounts.
The collective vote share of the INLD-BSP in Haryana stood at 5.96%. This was much better than the JJP-ASPKR share of 1.05%, with the JJP bearing the brunt of the anger over its tie-up with the BJP after successful 10 seats in 2019. Whereas its vote share stood at 0.9%, the ASPKR, making its debut in Haryana in a bid to increase its base past Uttar Pradesh, received solely 0.15% of the votes.
Each the INLD and JJP are led by scions of the Devi Lal household, which has had great affect on Jat votes. The BSP, led by former UP CM Mayawati, has secured a major variety of Dalit votes previously in Haryana polls.
The seats the place the BJP misplaced and the Congress gained, with the INLD-BSP alliance getting extra votes than the victory margin, included Adampur, Fatehabad, Hathin, Julana, Kalanwali, Loharu, Naraingarh and Sadhura. Olympic wrestler Vinesh Phogat was the Congress candidate from Julana.
The seats the place the Congress misplaced and the BJP gained, with the INLD-BSP alliance getting extra votes than the victory margin, included Assandh, Barwala, Narwana and Yamunanagar.
The JJP-ASPKR completed third and received extra votes than the victory margin in just one seat, Dabwali, the place the INLD’s Aditya Devilal defeated Congress nominee Amit Sihag by a slender margin of 610 votes. JJP candidate Digvijay Singh Chautala completed right here with 35,261 votes.
In two seats, Jagadhri and Panchkula, the place the Congress defeated the BJP, Aam Aadmi Social gathering (AAP) candidates completed third and received extra votes than the successful margin. The BJP had gained each the seats in 2019.
The AAP contested in Haryana individually after talks for an alliance with the Congress failed.
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