Can India qualify for WTC last in the event that they lose Pune Take a look at to New Zealand? Qualification eventualities defined | Cricket Information

IND vs NZ 2nd Take a look at Day 3 Stay

India’s WTC qualification possibilities after 2nd Take a look at vs New Zealand

India’s WTC possibilities will marginally stay inside their grasp. Nonetheless, outcomes of different groups may also assist their trigger ought to any additional slip-ups happen within the remaining six Assessments. India will subsequent play New Zealand within the third Take a look at in Mumbai from November 1 earlier than that includes of their final 5 Assessments of this cycle within the Border-Gavaskar Trophy between November 22 and early January.

Apart from Australia and New Zealand, South Africa and Sri Lanka are the opposite groups that may hamper India’s possibilities within the the rest of this cycle.

What number of defeats can India afford from right here?

To qualify with out relying on others, India can not afford one other defeat of their remaining six matches. Furthermore, India can solely afford a most of 1 draw and win 5 video games to complete on a PCT of 71.05. With six outright wins, Rohit and Co. can accumulate 170 factors at a commanding 74.56 PCT. That might require India to drag off a shocking 5-0 coup Down Beneath in opposition to the defending WTC champions.

Different eventualities for India

A minimal of two wins will maintain India in rivalry for a struggle with different outcomes additionally swaying their approach. To keep up their PCT over 60, India should win at the very least two Assessments and draw 4 matches.

India’s parallel WTC contenders

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka are in with a exterior likelihood of constructing the WTC last, ought to they win all of their remaining video games and India lose maintain of factors alongside the way in which. Sri Lanka have 4 Assessments remaining – two in opposition to South Africa away and two in opposition to Australia later in 2025. At present positioned third with a PCT of 55.56, Sri Lanka can end with 108 factors with 4 successive wins. That might elevate the Lankans to a PCT of 69.23, which India can higher solely with at the very least 5 extra wins (PCT then – 69.29) of their remaining matches.

South Africa

With an important win within the first Take a look at in opposition to Bangladesh, South Africa are slowly climbing up within the WTC ladder. The Proteas have yet one more Take a look at in Bangladesh earlier than taking the laps again house in opposition to Sri Lanka and Pakistan, with two Assessments apiece. With wins in all of those matches, South Africa can end with a PCT of 69.44, leaving India with a problem of not conceding one other defeat and drawing just one recreation to safe a minimal of 71.05 PCT with 5 wins.

New Zealand

The BlackCaps have emerged because the shock thorn to India’s WTC hopes. With a win in Pune, New Zealand’s PCT will rise to 50 p.c. Apart from the Mumbai Take a look at, they may have three extra Assessments at house in opposition to England. With 4 extra wins, former champions New Zealand can end on a finest PCT of 64.28, which might are available in play ought to different outcomes favour them in the remainder of the cycle.

Australia

It’s extremely unlikely that India and Australia will make it to the WTC last collectively regardless of holding onto the highest two spots presently. Australia can safe their berth with 4 wins from their remaining seven Assessments – 5 at house in opposition to India and two in opposition to Sri Lanka.

WTC 2023-25 Factors Desk (as of October 26, 2024)