The Northeast Monsoon is prone to make a well timed onset over southeast peninsular India round October 15-16, the India Meteorological Division (IMD) stated on Monday.
The conventional date for the Northeast Monsoon onset is October 20.
This 12 months, the IMD has predicted ‘above’ regular rainfall and quantitatively 112 per cent of the Lengthy Interval Common (1971-2020). Also referred to as the winter monsoon, the rainfall throughout October-December is the chief wet season for Tamil Nadu and likewise impacts Rayalaseema, Yanam, Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, south inside Karnataka and Kerala.
In its climate replace issued on Monday, IMD stated, “The Northeast Monsoon rainfall exercise is prone to begin over the southeastern peninsular area later this week and simultaneous completion of the withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon shall be realised from remaining components of the nation.”
Within the run-up to the onset of the Northeast Monsoon, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal will expertise very heavy rain (115-204 mm in 24 hours) until Wednesday with extraordinarily heavy rainfall (greater than 204 mm in 24 hours) on October 16, the IMD has warned.
This enhanced rainfall is because of the growth of a recent low-pressure system over the southeast Bay of Bengal on Monday. This technique is anticipated to accentuate right into a well-marked low-pressure system and transfer north-westwards throughout north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and southern Andhra Pradesh over the following two days. As well as, there extends a trough from this low-pressure system dipping into the southeast Bay of Bengal.
As a result of such beneficial climate situations, there shall be no break within the rainfall exercise between the 2 monsoons, notably over Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and neighbouring areas the place heavy rainfall has continued since final week. Heavy rain is forecast over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam on Tuesday and Wednesday, with rainfall exercise shifting to Kerala and Mahe on Thursday and Friday.
On Monday, the Southwest Monsoon additional retreated from Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura and is about to withdraw from the remainder of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and extra components of Maharashtra over the following two days.
The road of withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon handed by Gopalpur, Raipur, Khargone, Nandurbar, and Navsari.