With one week to go till Election Day, it stays a coin-flip White Home race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.
Going through a margin-of-error race in each the nationwide polls and the swing state surveys, each the vp and the previous president, their operating mates, and high surrogates proceed to fan out throughout the seven essential battleground states that can doubtless determine the 2024 presidential election.
On the path
The Republican presidential nominee begins Tuesday from his dwelling base in Palm Seashore, Florida, the place his marketing campaign says Trump will ship remarks to the press.
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The previous president then holds two occasions in Pennsylvania, which, with 19 electoral votes at stake, is the most important prize among the many key swing states.
Trump’s operating mate, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, campaigns with two stops in battleground Michigan.
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The Democratic nominee is within the nation’s capital, taking a break from swing state journey for a day, as she delivers what the Harris marketing campaign touts as her closing argument, in an deal with from the Ellipse, with the White Home as a backdrop.
Harris’ operating mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, makes three stops within the essential southeastern battleground of Georgia.
Casting ballots
Early voting turnout has been brisk, with swing states similar to Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina breaking information.
And with Trump apparently absolutely on board, the GOP’s efforts to persuade Republicans to vote early seem like working.Â
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The GOP hopes this surge in early voting will assist the social gathering rebound from setbacks within the 2020 and 2022 elections, when Democrats dominated early in-person voting and absentee balloting.
Ballot place
A handful of nationwide polls level to a lifeless warmth between Harris and Trump, whereas others point out the vp with the slight benefit or the previous president with the sting.
However getting previous the highest strains, there are warning indicators for each candidates.
Harris has misplaced her favorability benefit over Trump in a few of the most up-to-date surveys.
After changing President Biden atop the Democrats’ 2024 ticket in July, the vp’s favorable scores soared. However they’ve steadily eroded over the previous month.
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One other pink flag for Harris are polls indicating her help amongst Black voters is under Biden’s ranges within the 2020 election.
For Trump, his help amongst White voters is on par together with his standing within the 2020 election, when he misplaced the White Home to Biden.
And the previous president nonetheless faces a wholesome deficit to the vp in terms of being reliable and caring about individuals.
Whereas nationwide polls are carefully watched, the race for the White Home isn’t primarily based on the nationwide standard vote. It is a battle for the states and their electoral votes.
And the newest surveys within the seven essential battleground states whose razor-thin margins determined Biden’s 2020 victory over Trump and can doubtless decide whether or not Harris or Trump wins the 2024 election, are largely throughout the margin of error.
The latest Fox Information nationwide ballot indicated Trump had a two-point edge, however Harris had a 6-point benefit amongst respondents questioned in all seven battleground states.
Money sprintÂ
Whereas there is a margin of error within the polls, there’s a clear frontrunner within the battle for marketing campaign money, one other essential indicator in presidential politics. And it is Harris.
Based on the newest figures the 2 main social gathering presidential campaigns filed with the Federal Election Fee, Harris hauled in $97 million through the first half of October.
That far outpaced the $16 million the Trump marketing campaign mentioned it raised through the first half of this month.
Each campaigns use quite a few affiliated fundraisings committees to boost cash. And when these are included, Trump narrowed the hole, however trailed $176 million to $97 million through the first two weeks of this month.
In the course of the first 16 days of October, the Democratic presidential nominee’s marketing campaign outspent Trump $166 million to $99 million, with paid media the highest expenditure for each campaigns.
Nonetheless, Harris completed the reporting interval with more money in her coffers. As of Oct. 16, she had $119 million money available, whereas Trump had $36 million. When joint fundraising committees are additionally included, Harris holds a $240 million to $168 million cash-on-hand benefit.
Get the newest updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra at our Fox Information Digital election hub.